I made progress but not solved yet. The question in my mind was, is the EOT value causing this or the actual EOT? Someone else had the idea to "fool" it to believe a different temp to see if the problem followed the temp reported to the PCM or the actual temp. I found auf60084 and learned if you put a smaller value in, it will report lower EOT. When I did this, I found the "VCT disabled" issue tracked with the actual oil temp, not the inferred temp. In other words, after the engine oil was good and hot it did not have the issue even if the reported EOT was 150 or below. Therefore, it's not some EOT vs XYZ table in the calibration doing it. It leads me to conclude the problem is physical in nature and the PCM is seeing something it doesn't like and disables VCT as FMEM of sorts.
Being a physical problem, I've compared a ton of logs and observed that the cam angle, angle error, and phaser duty cycle do not seem to correlate to the disabled issue. I'm thinking in the direction of cam-to-crank reluctor diagnostics but can't get my head around how this might be affected by oil temp or viscosity when the phaser and solenoid seem to be working properly at the time.